CHARTING THE CHARTS: 10 Nov 06

Last week I found myself grumbling about a Disney-TV starlet who held back a cool rock album from #1. This week, I found myself rooting for her:

Karmic payback for Colbert. I dropped a little hint at the end of my post last week suggesting that Barry Manilow would debut at #1 with The Greatest Songs of the Sixties, an instant followup to last February’s smash #1 CD The Greatest Songs of the Fifties. This would have given Manilow a mind-blowing two #1 albums in a single calendar year – something he’d never achieved in his ’70s heyday – and also given Barry the record as the oldest guy ever to score a pair of chart-topping albums. Well, forget all that: Miley Cyrus, star of the Disney Channel’s Hannah Montana, held on to #1 in her second week by the tiniest of margins, 203,000 copies to Manilow’s 202,000, according to Billboard. This is the second consecutive week that the Hannah soundtrack confounds sales predictions, following last week’s easy trouncing of My Chemical Romance (who tumble a worrying 64% in their week two). Manilow’s album looked like a strong contender, and like most adult-oriented albums nowadays, it gets a boost from such atypical sales channels as – no joke – QVC. Unfortunately for Barry, when you buy an album from a TV ad, shopping channel or website, the sale only gets booked to the SoundScan charts when it ships; thus any CDs purchased over the weekend and shipped the following Monday or Tuesday fall into the next week’s charts. So look for Barry’s Sixties album to hold well in its second week. As for me, I have no major beef with Barry, schlocky though he is. But after this year’s Colbert-vs.-Manilow Emmy travesty, I must say I’m not favorably inclined toward the man who Writes The Songs. So, Hannah Montana, I thank you, and Stephen Colbert thanks you.

Third time’s the charm? There’s no major action or upsets on the Hot 100 singles chart this week; Justin Timberlake takes a second-week victory lap with “My Love,” and most of the Top Five is static. But Beyoncé Knowles takes a big leap into the Top 10 (24–9) with the third single from her B’Day album, “Irreplaceable” (with its sassy refrain, “To the left, to the left/Everything you own in a box to the left”). In this space two months ago, I predicted that her acerbic second single, “Ring the Alarm” – which debuted high, just outside the Top 10 – would die a quick death due to its radio-unfriendliness. In short, I was proved right: after materializing all the way up at #12, “Ring” crept briefly to #11 before tumbling. Indeed, in general, B’Day has underperformed by Beyoncé standards, as none of its singles has sunk in for very long at radio, and after the album’s sizeable sales debut it hasn’t spent much time in the Top 10. But the acoustic-ish, midtempo “Irreplaceable” should reverse all that, doing for Ms. Knowles what “My Love” is doing for JT: keeping a big-splash album alive well past its on-sale date.

Hicks and other hicks. With fifth-place runner-up Kellie Pickler debuting at #9 on the album chart (and #1 country) with her debut album – just two weeks after the return of 2003 winner Ruben Studdard – the American Idol silly season is clearly in full swing. Before Santa comes down the chimney, Simon Fuller’s TV-and-music juggernaut is going to spawn at least three more albums, including the debuts by 2006 winner Taylor Hicks and first runner-up Katharine McPhee (either Mario Vasquez or Chris Daughtry might also drop in that timeframe). You could almost spend every week between now and New Year’s listening to a new record by a former shop clerk–turned–melisma whore, if you wanted. Just in case this past week made you feel a little too upbeat about the power of voting.

Did somebody say something about “cleaning up”? Aussie/country heartthrob Keith Urban, who’s spending the first week of his new album’s release in rehab, is expected to move more than a third of a million albums before this week is out. It’ll be the biggest sales week ever for Mr. Nicole Kidman no matter what, but capturing the top slot will mean getting past the Now! That’s What I Call Music juggernaut, which is expected to move about the same amount, and not being able to promote the album while he’s kicking the sweet stuff will give Urban a tough time. At the very least, he should comfortably top the new one from Mom-friendly crooner Josh Groban. This chart matchup too boring for you? Well, this will be the last sleepy week before the big guns come out: the Game and Akon next week; and the Beatles, Jay-Z and U2 just before Turkey Day.

2 Comments »

  1. MiL Said,

    November 10, 2006 @ 7:14 pm

    You probably already know & I’m kind of ashamed to know & don’t know why I know that “the man who Writes the Songs” didn’t write “I Write the Songs.”

  2. misterpardonme Said,

    November 10, 2006 @ 7:57 pm

    When you said Hicks, I was really hoping for something about Dan, not Taylor.

RSS feed for comments on this post · TrackBack URI

Leave a Comment